Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers -5 (65-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Pence | 32 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | +3.8 |
| Landon Wolf | 32 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | -1.5 |
| Chase Walker | 29 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +8.4 |
| Johnny Kinziger | 29 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Landon Moore | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +8.2 |
| Mason Klabo | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +10.4 |
| Brandon Lieb | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Cameron Barnes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.0 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrick King | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 22 | +0.5 |
| Javon Jackson | 27 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Mason Miller | 27 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| JJ Traynor | 25 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Layne Taylor | 24 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| Roman Domon | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -6.5 |
| KJ Tenner | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Brayden Shorter | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.8 |
| Mathis Courbon | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -4.8 |
| Dylan Anderson | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Brock Vice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.9 |
* = starter