Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -14 (62-76). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Shetlar * | 37 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Owen Larson * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Andrew Alia * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Quinn * | 32 | 11-17 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Okku Federiko * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Carr | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jaehshon Thomas | 12 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Griffen Goodbary | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Braden Appelhans | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Scott * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Sterling Young * | 28 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Camp Wagner * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Hall * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hunter Harding * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jo Van Buggenhout | 29 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Bruno Alocen | 26 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Markus Harding | 20 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Enel St. Bernard | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Derek Vorst | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter