Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +5 (59-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Bond III | 33 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Trey Campbell | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Ben Schwieger | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | -4.3 |
| Will Hornseth | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Max Weisbrod | 27 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -8.5 |
| Geon Hutchins | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +8.4 |
| RJ Taylor | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5.8 |
| Kyle Pock | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.8 |
| Ismael Diouf | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.8 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boden Skunberg | 33 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +5.4 |
| Johnny Kinziger | 32 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Chase Walker | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Landon Wolf | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -8.1 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +8.0 |
| Ty Pence | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Landon Moore | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Brandon Lieb | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Mason Klabo | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Jack Daugherty | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +8.0 |
* = starter