Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +11 (101-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Domon | 28 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 6-9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 20 | -14.4 |
| JJ Traynor | 28 | 6-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Layne Taylor | 26 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -12.1 |
| Javon Jackson | 26 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 7-10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | -3.7 |
| Mason Miller | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -7.2 |
| Brayden Shorter | 16 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -11.1 |
| KJ Tenner | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Mathis Courbon | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6.7 |
| Fredrick King | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | -13.5 |
| Brock Vice | 8 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Dylan Anderson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.3 |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Quinn | 38 | 14-25 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 16 | +20.1 |
| Andrew Alia | 37 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +16.9 |
| Eli Shetlar | 30 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +8.4 |
| Owen Larson | 29 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | +4.9 |
| Okku Federiko | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +17.8 |
| Jaehshon Thomas | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +4.4 |
| Isaiah Carr | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | +2.9 |
| Griffen Goodbary | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Braden Appelhans | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +0.6 |
* = starter