Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.1% | 26.9% | -5.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +5 (94-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger | 35 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Boden Skunberg | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman | 27 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | -7.3 |
| Chase Walker | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | -3.9 |
| Landon Wolf | 24 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +10.4 |
| Landon Moore | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Ty Pence | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -15.1 |
| Mason Klabo | 12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Brandon Lieb | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Jack Daugherty | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.7 |
| Cameron Barnes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Scott | 31 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +5.9 |
| Camp Wagner | 27 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +4.7 |
| Sterling Young | 26 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +12.6 |
| X. Hall | 25 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +7.9 |
| Bruno Alocen | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -13.3 |
| Enel St. Bernard | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Derek Vorst | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Jo Van Buggenhout | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -5.8 |
| Sivert Nordheim | 9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -3.9 |
* = starter