Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.6% | 27.4% | -9.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.6% | 22.4% | -6.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +5 (94-89). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Chase Walker * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Ty'Reek Coleman * | 27 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Boden Skunberg * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Ty Pence * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Landon Wolf | 24 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Landon Moore | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mason Klabo | 12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Lieb | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jack Daugherty | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Barnes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Scott * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Camp Wagner * | 27 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Sterling Young * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Xavier Hall * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Derek Vorst * | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Bruno Alocen | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Enel St. Bernard | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jo Van Buggenhout | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Sivert Nordheim | 9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
* = starter