Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.7% | 23.3% | -6.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +5 (94-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger | 35 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -2.0 |
| B. Skunberg | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -6.0 |
| T. Coleman | 27 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | -7.3 |
| C. Walker | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | -3.9 |
| L. Wolf | 24 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +10.4 |
| L. Moore | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Ty Pence | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -15.1 |
| M. Klabo | 12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +1.8 |
| B. Lieb | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| J. Daugherty | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.7 |
| C. Barnes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Scott | 31 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +5.9 |
| C. Wagner | 27 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +4.7 |
| S. Young | 26 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +12.6 |
| X. Hall | 25 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +7.9 |
| B. Alocen | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -13.3 |
| E. St. Bernard | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| D. Vorst | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +2.1 |
| J. Van Buggenhout | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -5.8 |
| S. Nordheim | 9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -3.9 |
* = starter