Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Johnson | 34 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +12.8 |
| Elijah Crawford | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | +10.7 |
| Sam Silverstein | 30 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | +17.5 |
| Abdul Momoh | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +8.8 |
| Ahmad Henderson Ii | 24 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -4 | -11.5 |
| Mekhi Lowery | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Jayce Nathaniel | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Josiah Hammons | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +10.6 |
| R. Washington Jr. | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Ante Beljan | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.1 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger | 42 | 2-14 | 1-9 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -13.5 |
| Ty Pence | 35 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Boden Skunberg | 33 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -9.8 |
| Chase Walker | 32 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | +0.4 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Mason Klabo | 23 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | -3.2 |
| Landon Wolf | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -7.1 |
| Brandon Lieb | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9.2 |
| Jack Daugherty | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Landon Moore | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter