Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 34 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +12.8 |
| E. Crawford | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | +10.7 |
| S. Silverstein | 30 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | +17.5 |
| A. Momoh | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +8.8 |
| A. Henderson II | 24 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -4 | -11.5 |
| M. Lowery | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -2.4 |
| J. Nathaniel | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.5 |
| J. Hammons | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +10.6 |
| R. Washington Jr. | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2.4 |
| A. Beljan | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.1 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger | 42 | 2-14 | 1-9 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -13.5 |
| Ty Pence | 35 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | -1.2 |
| B. Skunberg | 33 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -9.8 |
| C. Walker | 32 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | +0.4 |
| T. Coleman | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +1.9 |
| M. Klabo | 23 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | -3.2 |
| L. Wolf | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -7.1 |
| B. Lieb | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9.2 |
| J. Daugherty | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| L. Moore | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter