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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 77.2% 22.8% - โœ“
Margin 86.5% 13.5% -10.2 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 86.1% 13.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Layne Taylor 30 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 3 4 +5.3
Fredrick King 30 4-5 0-0 1-7 7 1 0 2 2 9 12 +21.0
Javon Jackson 26 8-16 1-4 5-6 3 2 1 0 0 22 12 +10.4
Roman Domon 25 6-10 3-5 4-4 11 2 1 0 1 19 22 -2.4
Mason Miller 24 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 2 3 +12.0
JJ Traynor 17 5-8 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 12 7 +5.8
Mathis Courbon 16 2-6 0-2 6-8 3 1 0 0 3 10 5 -1.0
Brayden Shorter 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.5
KJ Tenner 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 +0.8
Dylan Anderson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4.0
Brock Vice 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.5

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryce Quinet 34 5-11 0-1 3-4 5 4 2 0 2 13 11 -6.1
A.J. Casey 31 10-13 1-2 3-5 5 1 1 1 0 24 19 -9.2
Alex Hemenway 27 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -3 +0.7
Leif Moeller 26 2-8 0-3 2-3 3 5 0 0 2 6 4 -3.6
Joshua Hughes 24 5-9 0-1 4-4 4 0 0 0 1 14 8 -4.5
Trent Hundley 24 1-5 0-3 2-2 3 0 1 1 0 4 4 -3.0
Kaia Berridge 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 3 2 4 -7.8
James Dyson-Merwe 13 2-3 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 1 4 8 -4.9

* = starter