Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +20 (85-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wagner | 33 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -12.5 |
| X. Hall | 31 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -6.6 |
| I. Scott | 31 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | -10.6 |
| D. Vorst | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -16.2 |
| J. Van Buggenhout | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -13.9 |
| E. St. Bernard | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| B. Alocen | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -16.2 |
| S. Young | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -5.2 |
| C. Bean | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
| J. Walker | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Nordheim | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Huttenlocker | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger | 29 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +11.9 |
| T. Coleman | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +15.8 |
| B. Skunberg | 22 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -0.2 |
| C. Walker | 21 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +12.2 |
| B. Lieb | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | -0.3 |
| Ty Pence | 18 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +11.0 |
| L. Moore | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +14.1 |
| J. Daugherty | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +13.9 |
| M. Klabo | 16 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +2.7 |
| L. Wolf | 13 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Ty Blake | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter