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2025-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 62.0% 38.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.8% 37.2% - โœ“
Margin 71.3% 28.7% -5.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 81.2% 18.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Owen Larson 32 2-7 1-4 0-1 3 2 3 0 3 5 3 -3.6
Jaehshon Thomas 30 7-12 4-6 0-2 3 2 1 0 1 18 11 +0.4
W. Exacte 29 5-15 1-6 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 11 0 +0.1
Andrew Alia 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 5 +3.2
Griffen Goodbary 20 2-3 1-2 4-6 2 1 0 0 0 9 9 +1.4
Eli Shetlar 18 3-5 1-3 1-1 7 1 1 0 1 8 11 +5.0
Okku Federiko 17 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 7 7 -4.7
Jalen Quinn 16 3-7 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 6 -1 -11.6
Braden Appelhans 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -1.6
Isaiah Carr 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.9

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Leif Moeller 29 1-5 1-3 4-4 3 3 2 0 4 7 6 -6.7
A.J. Casey 28 4-6 0-0 4-5 4 0 3 1 0 12 14 +7.7
Connor Turnbull 28 8-18 0-3 4-6 15 1 1 3 1 20 21 -3.9
Keishon Porter 23 1-4 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 +17.2
Joshua Hughes 22 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 1 4 +0.3
Bryce Quinet 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 1 -9.9
Trent Hundley 20 2-7 2-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 1 +2.2
Alex Hemenway 19 3-6 3-6 2-4 0 1 0 0 0 11 6 -0.9
Kaia Berridge 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 5 3 +0.5
James Dyson-Merwe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.2

* = starter