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2025-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“

Actual: Murray State Racers +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Quinn 33 7-17 1-2 4-6 2 0 1 0 0 19 5 -8.0
Owen Larson 31 0-5 0-1 3-4 8 3 0 0 3 3 6 +1.8
Okku Federiko 31 6-10 1-4 4-5 5 2 0 1 3 17 12 +3.0
Andrew Alia 29 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 0 1 2 5 -1.8
W. Exacte 28 2-6 0-1 4-4 5 2 0 0 2 8 7 +5.1
Jaehshon Thomas 21 7-10 1-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 17 8 -8.3
Eli Shetlar 15 1-6 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -9.6
Griffen Goodbary 9 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -8.6
Braden Appelhans 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Layne Taylor 32 4-10 3-8 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 13 8 +5.2
Fredrick King 27 6-13 0-1 4-5 11 3 1 2 0 16 20 +0.7
JJ Traynor 23 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 2 +4.5
Mason Miller 23 3-6 3-6 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 10 6 +6.7
Roman Domon 20 1-4 0-2 7-8 3 1 0 1 1 9 9 -2.2
Javon Jackson 20 3-9 1-3 4-4 0 1 2 0 0 11 5 +16.0
Mathis Courbon 20 1-2 0-1 3-4 2 2 1 0 0 5 8 -10.4
Brayden Shorter 16 1-3 1-3 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 7 7 +1.7
KJ Tenner 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2.7
Dylan Anderson 7 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 +8.4
Brock Vice 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -0.1

* = starter