๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2026-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 54.4% 45.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 โœ“ (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“

Actual: Murray State Racers +20 (86-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Demarion Burch 28 4-13 1-4 4-5 1 2 0 0 0 13 3 -8.7
Jaquan Johnson 26 2-12 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 4 2 -10.7
Ahmet Jonovic 26 4-9 0-0 5-7 6 0 1 1 0 13 12 -5.0
Alex Huibregtse 26 3-9 3-5 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 11 3 -13.6
Montana Wheeler 26 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 4 -1.6
AJ Smith 20 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 9 6 -3.1
Corey Thomas 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 4 +1.7
Kai Yu 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -7.4
Timoty Van Der Knaap 13 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 6 8 -8.1
Dietrich Richardson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.9
Matthew Zobrist 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.9

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mason Miller 28 2-6 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 6 4 +1.8
Layne Taylor 26 2-6 1-4 2-2 4 5 0 0 1 7 9 +8.1
Javon Jackson 24 7-10 2-3 4-4 3 4 0 0 1 20 16 +10.4
JJ Traynor 23 3-5 2-3 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 10 8 +7.6
Fredrick King 22 4-8 0-0 3-3 8 1 0 3 2 11 13 +11.4
Mathis Courbon 20 6-8 4-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 16 14 +5.3
Roman Domon 17 3-7 0-3 0-1 7 3 0 0 0 6 9 +4.9
Brayden Shorter 12 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 +10.6
KJ Tenner 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 +1.7
Brock Vice 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 3 5 +3.7
Dylan Anderson 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -2.3

* = starter