Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +26 (88-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquan Johnson | 31 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -12.8 |
| Ahmet Jonovic | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -10.1 |
| Demarion Burch | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | -12.2 |
| Alex Huibregtse | 22 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -14.1 |
| AJ Smith | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3.7 |
| Dietrich Richardson | 20 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -12.4 |
| Timoty Van Der Knaap | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -28.4 |
| Montana Wheeler | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -10.5 |
| Corey Thomas | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -7.8 |
| Matthew Zobrist | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Kai Yu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
| Gus Rugaard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boden Skunberg | 31 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | +18.0 |
| Johnny Kinziger | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +18.3 |
| Mason Klabo | 23 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +11.7 |
| Chase Walker | 22 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 24 | +14.2 |
| Ty Pence | 19 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +4.6 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +9.6 |
| Landon Moore | 18 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +12.7 |
| Brandon Lieb | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Jack Daugherty | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +12.8 |
| Landon Wolf | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +7.0 |
| Cameron Barnes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.9 |
| Ty Blake | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.9 |
* = starter