Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -14 (73-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Huibregtse | 32 | 10-14 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 21 | +21.5 |
| T. van der Knaap | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +5.6 |
| J. Johnson | 28 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +19.2 |
| A. Jonovic | 26 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +3.4 |
| AJ Smith | 25 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +21.3 |
| M. Wheeler | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -4.4 |
| C. Thomas | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +5.7 |
| K. Yu | 14 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +15.2 |
| D. Burch | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Quinn | 37 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 19 | -11.8 |
| E. Shetlar | 36 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -5.2 |
| A. Alia | 34 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | -29.2 |
| O. Larson | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -16.4 |
| J. Thomas | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +9.2 |
| I. Carr | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | +6.7 |
| O. Federiko | 16 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -25.4 |
| G. Goodbary | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7.6 |
* = starter