Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | -1.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +14 (74-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger | 35 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -3 | - |
| L. Wolf | 29 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ty Pence | 25 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Klabo | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| B. Skunberg | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Moore | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Daugherty | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Coleman | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Lieb | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Huibregtse | 35 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Johnson | 33 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| T. van der Knaap | 32 | 5-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| AJ Smith | 28 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| A. Jonovic | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C. Thomas | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Wheeler | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Burch | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Yu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter