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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 50.0% 50.0% -
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% -
Margin 55.3% 44.7% -1.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% -
Log Adjusted 64.3% 35.7% -
Points Off/Def 50.3% 49.7% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +14 (74-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Kinziger 35 3-11 1-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 6 7 -3 -
L. Wolf 29 4-8 2-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 12 8 -
Ty Pence 25 5-8 1-1 0-1 6 2 0 0 0 11 11 -
M. Klabo 25 3-8 1-4 5-5 7 1 1 0 0 12 13 -
B. Skunberg 24 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
L. Moore 22 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J. Daugherty 14 2-3 2-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
T. Coleman 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
B. Lieb 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Huibregtse 35 5-12 0-4 0-0 3 3 2 1 1 10 6 -
J. Johnson 33 8-16 1-3 6-6 2 4 2 0 1 23 14 -
T. van der Knaap 32 5-10 1-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 11 9 -
AJ Smith 28 3-4 1-2 0-0 8 0 1 0 0 7 12 -
A. Jonovic 21 5-7 0-0 4-7 6 1 0 1 1 14 14 -
C. Thomas 19 1-3 0-2 0-1 3 2 1 1 0 2 6 -
M. Wheeler 19 2-5 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 5 1 -
D. Burch 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
K. Yu 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter