Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +17 (103-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Domon | 30 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | +0.9 |
| Layne Taylor | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Fredrick King | 25 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20 | +3.0 |
| Javon Jackson | 24 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | +0.4 |
| Brayden Shorter | 20 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | -9.0 |
| Mason Miller | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5.7 |
| JJ Traynor | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -16.5 |
| Mathis Courbon | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -14.3 |
| KJ Tenner | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -15.5 |
| Brock Vice | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Dylan Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -11.0 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade | 36 | 8-15 | 3-10 | 8-9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 13 | +17.7 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 28 | +12.7 |
| Eoin Dillon | 27 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +9.9 |
| Jack Smiley | 26 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +9.7 |
| Jabez Jenkins | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +20.5 |
| Isaiah West | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +10.8 |
| Aidan Noyes | 16 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Brigham Rogers | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +13.2 |
| Win Miller | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Cooper Haynes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Graydon Lemke | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Keith Robbins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Jake Dykstra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
* = starter