Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.9% | 25.1% | -6.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabez Jenkins | 33 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | -2.9 |
| Tyler Lundblade | 31 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | +1.5 |
| Isaiah West | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -15.2 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Brigham Rogers | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Eoin Dillon | 23 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | +1.4 |
| Jack Smiley | 20 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | +11.7 |
| Win Miller | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Sam Orme | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Aidan Noyes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.8 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Dease | 35 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | +9.2 |
| Rakim Chaney | 32 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +7.1 |
| JT Pettigrew | 27 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +6.6 |
| Brody Whitaker | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +11.6 |
| Justus McNair | 21 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -9.7 |
| Shon Tupuola | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -2.5 |
| Tucker Tornatta | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +6.4 |
| Carter Hopoi | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Mark Brown | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
| Sader Servilus | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.1 |
| Isaiah Barnes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.7 |
* = starter