Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boden Skunberg | 35 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | -12.9 |
| Johnny Kinziger | 33 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | -10.6 |
| Chase Walker | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | +1.8 |
| Ty Pence | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -4.5 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Landon Wolf | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -7.3 |
| Landon Moore | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
| Mason Klabo | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Brandon Lieb | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8.5 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade | 36 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +15.0 |
| Sam Orme | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +13.3 |
| Jabez Jenkins | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +11.4 |
| Isaiah West | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | +15.2 |
| Jack Smiley | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Eoin Dillon | 21 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Brigham Rogers | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Aidan Noyes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.2 |
| Win Miller | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.8 |
* = starter