Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Pettigrew | 35 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -11.1 |
| Owen Dease | 35 | 8-20 | 5-14 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Rakim Chaney | 33 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | +14.3 |
| Brody Whitaker | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Shon Tupuola | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Tucker Tornatta | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +5.8 |
| Justus McNair | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Kyonte Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -15.4 |
| Carter Hopoi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Sader Servilus | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Isaiah Barnes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade | 39 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +1.8 |
| Jabez Jenkins | 35 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | -1.8 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | -9.1 |
| Isaiah West | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Sam Orme | 20 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +11.4 |
| Eoin Dillon | 19 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +8.6 |
| Brigham Rogers | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Jack Smiley | 18 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Win Miller | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.2 |
* = starter