Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -10 (44-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaisa Gamble | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +7.9 |
| Danae Powell | 34 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +9.8 |
| Emilia Long | 32 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 7 | +4.3 |
| Avery Watkins | 26 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | +6.5 |
| Indiya Clarke | 24 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3.4 |
| Hedda Koehne | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +11.7 |
| Ava Marr | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.4 |
| Morelia Chavez | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Djessira Diawara | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Aloni Oliver | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Diarrah Sissoko | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Durley | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | -3.2 |
| I. Sullivan | 30 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +0.2 |
| A. Young | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | -5.8 |
| C. Williams | 25 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +0.9 |
| M. Carter | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11.1 |
| O. Poulivaati | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -7.2 |
| Maia Rosarion | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -2.3 |
| G. Ramos | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.2 |
| I. Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +3.9 |
| A. Raidaveta | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -3.5 |
| B. Backus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| T. Bloom | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter