Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Ramos | 33 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +7.0 |
| S. Durley | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 3 | +1.4 |
| I. Sullivan | 23 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +6.4 |
| K. Hicks | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -2.2 |
| A. Young | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +8.8 |
| I. Jones | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +9.2 |
| M. Carter | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.7 |
| B. Backus | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +3.4 |
| A. Raidaveta | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3.3 |
| Maia Rosarion | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.8 |
| T. Bloom | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatum Thompson | 37 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 25 | +3.5 |
| Dani Bayes | 37 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | -7.1 |
| Natalie Pasco | 33 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Mya Hansen | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4.1 |
| Libby Hutton | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -13.2 |
| Keirra Thompson | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Mason Borcherding | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7.8 |
| Izzie Harms | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Kenna Garza | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Emily Howard | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +7.8 |
| Jayda Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter