Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Seattle U Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle U Redhawks +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Goosby | 37 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | -8.7 |
| Vanessa McManus | 36 | 7-23 | 1-8 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Charish Thompson | 34 | 10-14 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 24 | -15.2 |
| Madison Butcher | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Nora Perez | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -19.4 |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -9.0 |
| Jordan Billing | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -17.4 |
| Gillian Bears | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4.2 |
| Vivian Franklin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.4 |
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Mogel | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | +8.9 |
| Tamia Stricklin | 30 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +4.5 |
| Jana Vesic | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -8.3 |
| Andjela Bigovic | 30 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +10.3 |
| Chloe Emanga | 27 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +12.1 |
| Ella Brubaker | 27 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +16.3 |
| Sydnie Rodriguez | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +3.2 |
| Fia Proctor | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.9 |
| Lucy Larson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
* = starter