Model Predictions
| Model | St. Thomas Tommies | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.3% | 95.7% | +17.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +26 (84-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Thomas Tommies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Minessale * | 35 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | - |
| N. Janowski * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| C. Bjerke * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. Oosterbaan * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Dufault * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Lafferty | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Austin Herro | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Coleman | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Counts | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Tauer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Franks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tommy Humphries | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Tibbits | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulius Murauskas * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4-8 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Joshua Dent * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Mikey Lewis * | 24 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Harry Wessels * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Gad * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Andrew McKeever | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Rory Hawke | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Dillan Shaw | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tony Duckett | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Liam Campbell | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mantas Juzenas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter