Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota State Bison | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz * | 40 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Trevian Carson * | 39 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +5.4 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas * | 37 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 11-14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 24 | -2.8 |
| Noah Feddersen * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Markhi Strickland * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -0.0 |
| Carson Smith | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tay Smith | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Treyson Anderson | 15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Riley Massey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Jackson * | 36 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| TJ Caldwell * | 29 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Christian Harmon * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -9.7 |
| Aly Tounkara * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3.9 |
| K. Hayman | 26 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Hampton | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | +11.2 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +7.0 |
| R. Smith | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +13.1 |
* = starter