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2025-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Georgia State Panthers Spread Result
Elo 59.8% 40.2% -
Bradley-Terry 72.2% 27.8% -
Margin 68.4% 31.6% -4.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Log Adjusted 76.0% 24.0% -
Points Off/Def 57.6% 42.4% -

Actual: Georgia State Panthers -15 (63-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Campbell-Finch * 38 3-10 1-6 5-7 3 3 0 0 3 12 5 +4.8
C. Norris * 38 3-6 2-4 5-6 8 2 2 0 1 13 18 +7.4
K. Martin * 29 3-6 3-5 2-4 5 1 0 0 2 11 9 +10.5
Z. Wilburn * 26 0-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -5 +1.7
D. Faulkner * 20 7-10 0-1 5-7 6 3 0 2 2 19 18 -3.5
J. Pollard 24 6-9 1-3 3-6 9 0 1 0 2 16 15 +8.8
J. Bjornstad 17 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 0 5 8 +7.4
W. Shaver 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -7.8

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Brown * 38 3-12 3-7 8-8 1 3 2 0 2 17 9 -6.3
M. Tucker * 32 6-15 0-4 9-11 4 1 1 0 0 21 12 -5.4
J. Chappelle * 25 1-9 1-5 2-2 7 0 0 1 1 5 3 +1.3
J. Newton * 21 3-10 1-5 3-4 7 0 3 0 0 10 10 -4.7
C. Beam * 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 3 2 2 -
A. Berthe 34 1-7 1-7 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 5 0 -7.4
T. Scott III 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 3 4 -3.9
I. Sherrard 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -5.6
J. Cooper 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1.5

* = starter