Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | -4.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -15 (63-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Campbell-Finch * | 38 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | +4.8 |
| C. Norris * | 38 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | +7.4 |
| K. Martin * | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +10.5 |
| Z. Wilburn * | 26 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | +1.7 |
| D. Faulkner * | 20 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 18 | -3.5 |
| J. Pollard | 24 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +8.8 |
| J. Bjornstad | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +7.4 |
| W. Shaver | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.8 |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brown * | 38 | 3-12 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | -6.3 |
| M. Tucker * | 32 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | -5.4 |
| J. Chappelle * | 25 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +1.3 |
| J. Newton * | 21 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -4.7 |
| C. Beam * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Berthe | 34 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -7.4 |
| T. Scott III | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3.9 |
| I. Sherrard | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.6 |
| J. Cooper | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.5 |
* = starter