Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +21 (87-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Washington Jr. * | 26 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | -11.9 |
| Billy Smith * | 24 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | -4.4 |
| Jordan Frison * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | -4.2 |
| Latif Diouf * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Sean Cusano * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Tate Darner | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Makai Richards | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | -4.4 |
| Jikari Johnson | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -15.9 |
| Brennan Watkins | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Parker Robison | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Houston Holland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Ryan Lopez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew McKeever * | 36 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +9.3 |
| Mikey Lewis * | 32 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 10-10 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 27 | +12.9 |
| Joshua Dent * | 32 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +16.8 |
| Paulius Murauskas * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | +6.8 |
| Kevin Gad * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Dillan Shaw | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +9.8 |
| Rory Hawke | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +8.4 |
| Tony Duckett | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Liam Campbell | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -6.2 |
| Mantas Juzenas | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Oliver Faubert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
* = starter