Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.9% | 30.1% | -4.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cox | 37 | 10-13 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 22 | -1.2 |
| Andrew Alekseyenko | 31 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Ben Tweedy | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3.0 |
| Sam Wright | 27 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +3.1 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Josh Ahayere | 25 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -7.2 |
| Ayomi Odetoyinbo | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -6.5 |
| Cooper Wright | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Ethan Brown | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -2.7 |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Phillips | 36 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | -5.2 |
| Mark Butler | 35 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | -1.6 |
| Caleb Williams | 34 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | -3.1 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert | 32 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2.2 |
| Shareef Jackson | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -3.8 |
| Ryan Pettit | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +11.1 |
| Luke Bevilacqua | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +5.0 |
| Folabomi Fayemi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Ashton Wallace | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter