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2025-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Lafayette Leopards Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% -
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% -
Margin 70.0% 30.0% -4.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.9% 39.1% -
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% -
Log Adjusted 75.7% 24.3% -
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% -

Actual: Lafayette Leopards -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cox 37 10-13 2-3 7-7 3 2 2 0 1 29 22 +1.1
A. Alekseyenko 31 4-11 0-3 6-8 9 4 0 0 3 14 13 +1.9
B. Tweedy 29 2-7 0-3 3-5 7 4 0 0 1 7 10 +4.0
S. Wright 27 6-11 3-7 5-7 9 0 0 0 2 20 16 +3.0
K. Carlesimo 25 1-5 1-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 4 4 +1.0
J. Ahayere 25 2-4 1-1 2-4 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 +3.1
A. Odetoyinbo 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 0 2 6 -
C. Wright 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 +2.0
E. Brown 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -1.0

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Phillips 36 3-12 1-8 6-6 2 3 0 0 1 13 5 -3.2
M. Butler 35 6-11 1-1 6-7 5 0 2 0 1 19 14 -3.1
C. Williams 34 6-9 3-5 2-2 7 1 1 0 1 17 16 -1.1
C. Humphrey-Rembert 32 1-5 0-4 2-4 5 0 1 1 4 4 2 -
S. Jackson 27 5-9 0-0 2-6 8 2 1 0 3 12 11 -1.1
R. Pettit 21 4-6 1-2 1-1 2 4 0 0 0 10 10 -3.1
L. Bevilacqua 12 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -4.1
F. Fayemi 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.0
A. Wallace 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter