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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Bucknell Bison Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% - ✓
Margin 11.6% 88.4% +11.2 ✓ (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 20.6% 79.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% - ✓

Actual: Colgate Raiders +19 (95-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Achile Spadone 36 4-7 0-2 5-5 8 0 1 0 1 13 14 -21.2
Jayden Williams 35 2-6 1-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 7 3 -8.9
Amon Dörries 32 5-11 1-3 4-4 4 2 0 0 2 15 8 -22.1
Pat Curtin 29 7-15 1-6 3-3 4 2 2 0 3 18 8 -15.2
Aleksander Pachucki 27 4-9 2-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 10 9 -18.6
Quin Berger 18 0-4 0-3 1-2 0 1 3 0 0 1 1 -7.9
Jacob Meachem 13 0-0 0-0 7-8 0 2 0 0 2 7 7 +2.9
Patrick O'Brien 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 +2.4
Kellen Welch 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 +0.2
Matt Lange 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Cox 33 5-6 1-1 2-2 10 10 4 0 2 13 29 +16.4
S. Wright 29 8-12 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 17 10 +13.6
J. Ahayere 27 3-7 1-4 0-1 2 2 1 0 0 7 5 +21.1
Andrew Alekseyenko 27 7-10 3-4 5-6 3 4 2 1 2 22 20 +19.6
Ben Tweedy 26 4-9 4-7 2-4 5 3 0 0 3 14 10 +22.1
K. Carlesimo 19 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9
C. Wright 14 4-5 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 8 3 -1.6
Brady Cummins 12 2-4 2-4 4-5 2 0 0 1 1 10 8 +3.1
Ayomi Odetoyinbo 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 +0.6
Cameron Brennan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1.2
Ethan Brown 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1.2
J. Niv 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -4.1
C. Pugh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.1

* = starter