Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.2% | 88.8% | +11.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Biel * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 4 | -15.3 |
| K. Steele * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 6 | -4.2 |
| M. Gray * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +3.7 |
| B. N'Galang * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | -10.2 |
| R. Mabrey * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -16.1 |
| A. Flagg | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -4.7 |
| Y. Bamba | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -1.5 |
| C. Crawford | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| I. Bonilla | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| L. Carey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Jones * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2.5 |
| G. Sprouse * | 30 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +2.5 |
| M. Mayock * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -5.5 |
| W. Nausadis * | 24 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +6.8 |
| J. Iturbe * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +14.0 |
| K. Sebastian | 21 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +9.1 |
| C. Eagan | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -1.3 |
| M. Collins | 19 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +24.1 |
| D. Hogans | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +3.9 |
| L. Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter