Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rider Broncs -12 (34-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Fernandez de Caleya | 40 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | +12.3 |
| Keana Foz | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +17.3 |
| Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor | 29 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 7 | +15.8 |
| Priscila Varela | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +13.1 |
| Raneem Elbarky | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Angelie Ricard | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +12.1 |
| Maria Doreste | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7.8 |
| Hawa Balde-Camara | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +0.8 |
| Alivia Landy | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aina Perez Mesquida | 40 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -14.0 |
| Aliya McIver | 37 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -14.7 |
| K. Ekofo | 32 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -12.2 |
| Emmy Roach | 31 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -9.9 |
| Alena Cofield | 31 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -10.1 |
| Deb Okechukwu | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Daniya Brown | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.3 |
| Sam Richardson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
| Amany Lopez | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -4.4 |
* = starter