Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.9% | 44.1% | -1.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -20 (66-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Elamin | 35 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| MJ Collins | 33 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Allen | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Falslev | 28 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| K. Templin | 21 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| K. King | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| G. Clark | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Perryman | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Z. Keller | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hall | 34 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| L. Haupt | 32 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Buljan | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| U. Tenette | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Chol | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Albury | 23 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| T. Miller | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| JT Rock | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter