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Colorado State Rams 85
@
San José State Spartans 73
2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 76.0% 24.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 77.7% 22.3% - ✓
Margin 80.9% 19.1% -7.9 ✓ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 71.4% 28.6% - ✓
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 85.1% 14.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 85.2% 14.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 65.5% 34.5% - ✓

Actual: San José State Spartans -12 (73-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Muniz 36 5-8 1-3 1-2 2 10 0 0 5 12 11 +7.9
B. Rechsteiner 31 7-11 6-9 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 20 13 +10.2
C. Booth 31 3-9 1-3 8-9 5 2 0 0 1 15 12 +9.7
J. Butler 28 3-5 1-2 3-4 5 2 0 0 0 10 12 +7.8
K. Jorgensen 20 4-5 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 9 5 +4.7
R. Mbemba 17 5-6 0-0 5-6 3 1 0 0 0 15 13 +4.4
A. Kiudulas 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 2 4 -0.6
D. Slater 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -0.6
J. McIver 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 +3.2

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Garland 40 10-17 1-3 7-9 2 8 2 0 1 28 22 -8.4
M. Bell Jr. 39 5-12 2-6 3-6 6 2 0 0 0 15 11 -11.0
J. Washington 39 1-6 1-2 2-3 3 2 0 0 1 5 3 -5.0
A. Myers 34 3-7 2-6 2-2 1 0 2 1 0 10 7 -5.3
S. NgaNga 19 3-6 1-2 3-3 5 0 0 0 2 10 7 -0.7
M. Overstreet 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 2 5 5 -7.9
J. Moupadele 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 1 0 0 1 -7.2

* = starter