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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 66.8% 33.2% -
Bradley-Terry 61.7% 38.3% -
Margin 72.0% 28.0% -5.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% -
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% -
Points Off/Def 59.0% 41.0% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Falslev 34 4-10 1-3 1-4 4 6 2 0 1 10 11 -
D. Allen 34 6-13 5-8 0-0 2 4 5 0 0 17 15 -
G. Clark 25 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
A. Elamin 25 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
K. King 24 5-10 4-9 2-2 6 1 1 0 3 16 11 -
K. Templin 23 2-4 0-1 7-11 3 1 2 0 1 11 12 -
MJ Collins 21 3-11 3-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 0 -
E. Perryman 9 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 5 5 -
Z. Keller 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 6 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Camper Jr. 38 5-11 4-5 6-7 4 2 1 0 1 20 15 -
E. Price 34 3-4 0-0 4-6 12 2 0 3 5 10 18 -
V. Weems 26 2-5 2-3 3-4 5 0 1 0 2 9 8 -
T. Comer 23 3-6 1-3 5-6 2 7 0 0 3 12 12 -
K. Lowery 22 4-9 2-4 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
T. Rolison 20 4-7 1-4 0-0 2 6 0 0 1 9 9 -
J. Armotrading 16 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 3 2 7 7 -
A. Robinson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Coleman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
P. White 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Walker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter