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2025-11-22

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Margin 11.0% 89.0% +11.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miro Little * 35 3-6 2-4 5-6 6 4 1 1 3 13 16 -8.8
Aidan Mahaney * 31 4-16 2-8 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 10 0 -6.4
Colin Smith * 25 1-8 1-6 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 6 0 -6.3
Jason Fontenet II * 21 1-2 0-0 2-3 4 1 1 0 3 4 5 -8.4
Hosana Kitenge * 18 5-7 0-0 2-6 0 1 1 2 4 12 5 +4.2
Zion Sensley 19 3-7 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 7 2 -15.4
CJ Shaw 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 7 +3.3
Evans Kipruto 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -9.1
Marvin McGhee IV 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 3 +2.3
Michael Simcoe 9 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -3.3

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Camper Jr. * 32 9-14 4-7 5-6 2 3 1 1 0 27 20 +11.5
Elijah Price * 30 4-6 0-2 6-7 8 0 1 0 0 14 17 +13.9
Tayshawn Comer * 29 5-14 1-4 3-4 2 3 3 0 2 14 6 +10.7
Joel Armotrading * 28 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 3 3 2 5 +13.6
Chuck Bailey III * 24 3-5 0-0 2-3 7 4 0 1 2 8 13 +2.7
Tyler Rolison 15 0-1 0-0 4-4 3 2 3 0 1 4 10 +3.9
Vaughn Weems 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 +5.5
Kaleb Lowery 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -0.4
Myles Walker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -2.5
Peyton White 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -3.2
Amire Robinson 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.1
Ethan Croley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -2.1
Jeriah Coleman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.8

* = starter