Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Innocenti | 37 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Graham Ike | 35 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Adam Miller | 30 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Davis Fogle | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Saint-Supéry | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Braeden Smith | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Ismaila Diagne | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 40 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Mikey Lewis | 37 | 10-21 | 7-13 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 19 | -0.8 |
| Dillan Shaw | 36 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | -0.7 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 31 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Harry Wessels | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Andrew McKeever | 12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mantas Juzenas | 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Rory Hawke | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Liam Campbell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter