Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +19 (86-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Graves | 30 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| C. Hammond | 29 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -1 | - |
| E. Mahi | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Ensminger | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Darlan | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Gavalyugov | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| B. Knapper | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| KJ Cochran | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Oboye | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| F. Chukwudebelu | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Murauskas | 36 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D. Shaw | 35 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| J. Dent | 34 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Lewis | 33 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| H. Wessels | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| A. McKeever | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Hawke | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Campbell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Juzenas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Duckett | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter