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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 76.2% 23.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 71.9% 28.1% - โœ“
Margin 83.3% 16.7% -8.8 โœ“ (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 86.9% 13.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 87.0% 13.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.8% 33.2% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons -21 (73-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Mahi 34 11-21 3-9 5-5 7 2 4 1 3 30 20 +15.3
Jake Ensminger 32 3-4 0-1 0-0 10 2 0 0 0 6 14 +21.7
Christian Hammond 29 6-11 4-7 2-2 1 3 1 0 3 18 9 +22.6
Bukky Oboye 21 3-3 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 1 0 6 9 -3.6
Brenton Knapper 20 2-5 2-3 4-4 3 1 3 0 2 10 10 +8.6
Sash Gavalyugov 20 3-10 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 7 1 +12.1
Thierry Darlan 19 5-7 3-4 2-2 3 1 4 0 0 15 16 +8.9
Francis Chukwudebelu 11 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 1 0 0 1 +13.8
KJ Cochran 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 +4.1
Allen Graves 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 +3.5

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Beasley 38 7-12 3-7 5-6 3 5 1 0 1 22 18 -14.5
Tyrone Riley IV 37 5-13 3-9 0-1 1 0 0 1 1 13 1 -12.5
Legend Smiley 28 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 3 1 1 3 6 -13.9
Mookie Cook 27 3-9 1-2 2-2 6 1 2 2 6 9 5 -10.5
Junjie Wang 25 7-8 3-4 2-3 2 2 1 1 1 19 16 -15.3
Guillermo Diaz Graham 25 2-5 1-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 3 7 6 -7.2
Vukasin Masic 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -4 -12.8
Aidan Braccia 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1
Weilun Zhao 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.1

* = starter