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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.3 โœ“ (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 12.7% 87.3% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Rochelin 40 4-7 1-2 3-3 14 0 1 0 4 12 16 +1.2
Jaden Clayton 34 3-10 1-4 0-0 6 8 0 0 2 7 9 +12.0
TJ Wainwright 31 3-8 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 10 4 -5.8
Elias Ralph 30 4-10 1-1 3-4 6 1 0 1 1 12 9 +6.2
KC Ibekwe 23 4-7 0-0 0-4 3 0 0 1 0 8 5 -7.0
Isaac Jack 17 3-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 7 8 +10.5
Kajus Kublickas 15 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 6 2 -1.3
Jaion Pitt 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.3

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Emmanuel Innocenti 34 4-6 2-3 3-6 4 0 0 2 0 13 13 +1.9
Graham Ike 32 8-21 0-6 4-4 5 0 0 3 3 20 4 +6.7
Davis Fogle 28 4-5 1-1 9-12 2 1 0 0 0 18 16 +3.3
Tyon Grant-Foster 28 4-10 1-4 1-5 5 1 1 1 1 10 7 +9.1
M. Saint-Supรฉry 25 1-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 2 4 -8.6
Jalen Warley 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -7.0
Braeden Smith 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 5 +9.4
Adam Miller 12 1-3 1-3 1-2 0 0 2 0 0 4 3 -2.1
Ismaila Diagne 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -5.7
Noah Haaland 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter