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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 9.3% 90.7% -
Bradley-Terry 9.1% 90.9% -
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 11.8% 88.2% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Rochelin 40 4-7 1-2 3-3 14 0 1 0 4 12 16 -
J. Clayton 34 3-10 1-4 0-0 6 8 0 0 2 7 9 -
TJ Wainwright 31 3-8 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
E. Ralph 30 4-10 1-1 3-4 6 1 0 1 1 12 9 -
KC Ibekwe 23 4-7 0-0 0-4 3 0 0 1 0 8 5 -
I. Jack 17 3-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
K. Kublickas 15 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 6 2 -
J. Pitt 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Innocenti 34 4-6 2-3 3-6 4 0 0 2 0 13 13 -
G. Ike 32 8-21 0-6 4-4 5 0 0 3 3 20 4 -
T. Grant-Foster 28 4-10 1-4 1-5 5 1 1 1 1 10 7 -
D. Fogle 28 4-5 1-1 9-12 2 1 0 0 0 18 16 -
M. Saint-Supéry 25 1-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 2 4 -
J. Warley 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
B. Smith 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 5 -
A. Miller 12 1-3 1-3 1-2 0 0 2 0 0 4 3 -
I. Diagne 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
N. Haaland 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter