Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Seattle U Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | -10.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.9% | 14.1% | -10.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle U Redhawks -2 (70-72). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent * | 40 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4.0 |
| Dillan Shaw * | 37 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Paulius Murauskas * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Mikey Lewis * | 29 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Harry Wessels * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Andrew McKeever | 19 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | -7.3 |
| Liam Campbell | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Rory Hawke | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Mantas Juzenas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.6 |
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Heimbrodt * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 6 | +8.8 |
| Jojo Murphy * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Junseok Yeo * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | +5.7 |
| Maleek Arington * | 32 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Austin Maurer * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +8.4 |
| John Christofilis | 19 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | +10.6 |
| Houran Dan | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Miles Amos | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +5.2 |
* = starter