Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | -13.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.7% | 4.3% | -17.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons -21 (59-80). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ike | 36 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +19.2 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti | 36 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | +9.8 |
| M. Saint-Supéry | 33 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 20 | +27.9 |
| Adam Miller | 31 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +16.6 |
| Davis Fogle | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +14.4 |
| Jalen Warley | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -8.4 |
| Ismaila Diagne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Braeden Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -9.5 |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Riley IV | 37 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | -5.2 |
| Ryan Beasley | 35 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -15.3 |
| Mookie Cook | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +8.3 |
| Legend Smiley | 25 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -13.9 |
| David Fuchs | 22 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +8.7 |
| Junjie Wang | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8.1 |
| Vukasin Masic | 17 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Saba Gigiberia | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -18.2 |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.5 |
* = starter