Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.6% | 14.4% | -9.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -11 (61-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Shaw | 40 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Dent | 40 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| P. Murauskas | 37 | 11-15 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 34 | - |
| M. Lewis | 32 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - |
| A. McKeever | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| H. Wessels | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Campbell | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Juzenas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Duckett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Hawke | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ralph | 39 | 5-15 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| TJ Wainwright | 39 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Clayton | 30 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| I. Jack | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Rochelin | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| J. Pitt | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| KC Ibekwe | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Kublickas | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter