Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.9% | 99.1% | +25.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +28 (88-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Styles Phipps | 31 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Clark | 30 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Luka Vudragovic | 25 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Dožic | 24 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Stefan Cicic | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Javon Cooley | 21 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Yonatan Levy | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| P. Stošic | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| David Mager | 8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Vladimir Sudar | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Pasha Shemirani | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 31 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Mikey Lewis | 24 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Paulius Murauskas | 24 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Harry Wessels | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Dillan Shaw | 21 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Rory Hawke | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Andrew McKeever | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Liam Campbell | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mantas Juzenas | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tony Duckett | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Oliver Faubert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter