Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +28 (88-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Phipps | 31 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Clark | 30 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| L. Vudragovic | 25 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Dožic | 24 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Cicic | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Cooley | 21 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Y. Levy | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| P. Stošic | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Mager | 8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| V. Sudar | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Shemirani | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dent | 31 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| M. Lewis | 24 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| P. Murauskas | 24 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| H. Wessels | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| D. Shaw | 21 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Hawke | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. McKeever | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| L. Campbell | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Juzenas | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Duckett | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| O. Faubert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter