Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +25 (79-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley | 33 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Junjie Wang | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tyrone Riley IV | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| David Fuchs | 27 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Mookie Cook | 22 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Legend Smiley | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vukasin Masic | 14 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Saba Gigiberia | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Weilun Zhao | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aidan Braccia | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 38 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Dillan Shaw | 36 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Paulius Murauskas | 36 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Mikey Lewis | 27 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Andrew McKeever | 24 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Harry Wessels | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Liam Campbell | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mantas Juzenas | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tony Duckett | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rory Hawke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Oliver Faubert | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter