Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +25 (79-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ry. Beasley | 33 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Wang | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Riley IV | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Fuchs | 27 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| G. Diaz Graham | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Cook | 22 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| L. Smiley | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Masic | 14 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| S. Gigiberia | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Zhao | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Braccia | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dent | 38 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D. Shaw | 36 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| P. Murauskas | 36 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| M. Lewis | 27 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. McKeever | 24 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| H. Wessels | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Campbell | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Juzenas | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Duckett | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Hawke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Faubert | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter