Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +8 (73-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillan Shaw | 40 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Joshua Dent | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 33 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | -4.3 |
| Liam Campbell | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +6.5 |
| Harry Wessels | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Andrew McKeever | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Mikey Lewis | 19 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -9.9 |
| Mantas Juzenas | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Rory Hawke | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Tony Duckett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ike | 37 | 11-20 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 16 | +9.1 |
| Jalen Warley | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +23.6 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -5.8 |
| M. Saint-Supéry | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Adam Miller | 17 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Davis Fogle | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Braeden Smith | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | +4.3 |
| Steele Venters | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Ismaila Diagne | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter