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2026-01-28

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% -
Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% -
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% -
Points Off/Def 21.8% 78.2% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +15 (88-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ry. Beasley 31 3-8 2-4 3-4 1 1 2 0 1 11 6 -0.6
G. Diaz Graham 28 5-8 2-4 3-7 6 5 0 1 2 15 17 +0.3
T. Riley IV 26 4-17 0-5 0-0 8 2 0 0 0 8 1 -1.9
J. Wang 25 3-6 1-4 2-2 2 0 2 0 2 9 5 +0.4
V. Abosi 23 1-5 1-2 3-4 7 2 0 0 0 6 10 +4.2
V. Masic 23 2-3 0-0 0-1 1 2 0 0 4 4 0 +0.3
L. Smiley 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 4 8 +2.0
D. Fuchs 16 3-3 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 4 7 3 +2.1
M. Cook 9 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 5 +2.0
W. Zhao 2 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +3.0

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ensminger 33 3-5 1-3 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 7 11 -4.1
C. Hammond 31 8-15 4-6 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 21 8 -
E. Mahi 30 7-13 2-4 2-2 2 2 4 0 0 18 13 +0.7
A. Graves 25 4-8 0-0 3-4 6 3 3 0 1 11 14 -0.1
S. Gavalyugov 23 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 8 3 -6.1
B. Knapper 17 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 6 1 0 0 4 5 +1.9
B. Oboye 14 2-3 0-1 2-3 8 0 1 0 1 6 11 +0.8
KJ Cochran 13 4-5 3-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 11 10 -0.2
T. Darlan 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 2 +1.9
F. Chukwudebelu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0
B. Yarusso 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.0

* = starter