Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | +14.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +15 (88-73). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Tyrone Riley IV * | 26 | 4-17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Junjie Wang * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Legend Smiley * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -6.1 |
| David Fuchs * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | -15.6 |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 28 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | -1.8 |
| Veniamin Abosi | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -4.7 |
| Vukasin Masic | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | -12.0 |
| Mookie Cook | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +3.9 |
| Weilun Zhao | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.7 |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Ensminger * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +8.0 |
| Christian Hammond * | 31 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8 | +13.4 |
| Elijah Mahi * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Brenton Knapper * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +15.0 |
| Bukky Oboye * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Allen Graves | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +9.2 |
| Sash Gavalyugov | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -3.9 |
| KJ Cochran | 13 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +9.7 |
| Thierry Darlan | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +5.4 |
| Francis Chukwudebelu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Brendan Yarusso | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
* = starter