Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +30 (81-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Lake II | 35 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -23.6 |
| Johan Munch | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -29.2 |
| Isaiah Sy | 29 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -23.4 |
| Keziah Ekissi | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Matija Samar | 21 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -22.5 |
| Noah Amenhauser | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9.3 |
| Yaak Yaak | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5.5 |
| Jorge Diaz Graham | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -8.7 |
| Olavi Suutela | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Ja'Quavis Williford | 8 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Dez White | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 33 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | +23.3 |
| Dillan Shaw | 31 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +23.9 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 26 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +20.1 |
| Mikey Lewis | 22 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +20.3 |
| Harry Wessels | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +18.7 |
| Andrew McKeever | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | +7.2 |
| Liam Campbell | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Mantas Juzenas | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +8.9 |
| Tony Duckett | 10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Rory Hawke | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Oliver Faubert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
* = starter