Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | -10.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons -14 (68-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 40 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 23 | -0.2 |
| Dillan Shaw | 37 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 37 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Andrew McKeever | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 23 | +2.1 |
| Mikey Lewis | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Liam Campbell | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -4.6 |
| Harry Wessels | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Mantas Juzenas | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.1 |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley | 36 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Tyrone Riley IV | 35 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +2.2 |
| David Fuchs | 29 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -3.2 |
| Junjie Wang | 27 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | -10.1 |
| Legend Smiley | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Vukasin Masic | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Veniamin Abosi | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +6.8 |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +10.4 |
| Saba Gigiberia | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Aidan Braccia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
* = starter